Thursday, July 1, 2010

20100701 1850 FCPO EOD Daily Chart Study.

FCPO closed : 2346, changed : -27 points, volume : lower.
Bollinger band reading : side way downside biased.
MACD Histrogram : getting lower, seller in control.
Support : 2330, 2300, 2270 level.
Resistant : 2350, 2370, 2400 level.
Comment :
Broken 2 support levels FCPO ended the day lower with lesser volume changed hand as fear of global economy recovery pace dragged most commodities price lower. Daily chart shows that price penetrated and closed below the lower Bollinger band level with a side way range bound downside biased reading that potentially having a upward pullback correction.
When to buy : buy at support or weakness with quick cut loss and profit target.
When to sell : sell at resistant or strength with quick cut loss and profit target.

20100701 1846 FKLI EOD Daily Chart Study.

FKLI closed : 1303 changed : -5 points, volume : higher.
Bollinger band reading : side way range bound.
MACD Histrogram : getting lower, seller building position.
Support : 1300, 1290, 1285 level.
Resistant : 1310, 1318, 1325 level.
Comment :
FKLI continue to trade weaker testing lower support level with slightly improved volume participation as regional market sentiment remained negative due to fear of global economy recovery pace. Daily chart shows that price successfully tested and stay below middle Bollinger band support level with the reading remained side way range bound potentially continue to test lower support level.
When to buy : buy at support or weakness with quick cut loss and profit target.
When to sell : sell at resistant or strength with quick cut loss and profit target.

20100701 1328 FKLI Mid Day Hourly Chart Study.

FKLI closed : 1306.5 changed : -1.5 points, volume : moderate.
Bollinger band reading : side way range bound little downside biased.
MACD Histrogram : up and down, buyer and seller buliding position.
Support : 1300, 1290, 1280 level.
Resistant : 1310, 1318, 1325 level.
Comment :
First session slightly lower FKLI traded range bound in sustaining volume as both buyer and seller still building their respective position. Hourly chart reading suggest market is likely to trade side way range bound with a little downside biased.

20100701 1325 FCPO Mid Day Hourly Chart Study.

FCPO closed : 2365, changed : -8 points, volume : low.
Bollinger band reading : side way downside biased.
MACD Histrogram : recovering, not much action but seller still in.
Support : 2350, 2330, 2300 level.
Resistant : 2370, 2400, 2450 level.
Comment :
Sad volume 9 points range boring market FCPO traded lower without much action today with the hourly chart suggesting a side way range bound downside biased market.

20100701 1229 Global Market News.

Stocks, commodities fall on China slowdown
HONG KONG, July 1 (Reuters) - Asian stocks and commodities began the second half of the year on a sour note, with Japanese stocks sliding to a seven-month low after manufacturing data showed China's rapid economic growth was slowing.
"China's economy growth is at a critical stage of levelling off after the climb," said Zhang Liqun, a Chinese government economist, said in a statement regarding an official manufacturing survey. 

Petronas may trim overseas exploration, eyes 2010 IPO
KUALA LUMPUR, July 1 (Reuters) - Malaysia's state oil firm Petronas said it may trim overseas exploration and focus more on developing and acquiring discovered oil wells, as it reviews its global expansion strategy.
Petronas also plans to list its petrochemical business, which sources have said could be over $2 billion, later this year. The company said its financial year 2010 profit slipped 23.2 percent from a year earlier.

Oil tumbles 4th day on China economic growth worries
SINGAPORE, July 1 (Reuters) - Oil fell for a fourth straight day, shedding as much as 1.3 percent, on signs that China's economic growth was slowing, raising concerns about energy demand.
"Market confidence remains very fragile and people are concerned about the risks to the international economic recovery," said David Moore, an analyst at the Commonwealth Bank of Australia.

Asian stocks fall; worst quarter since Lehman
SINGAPORE, June 30 (Reuters) - Asian stocks fell on Wednesday and ended the second quarter with their worst performance since the collapse of Lehman Brothers as investors got out of shares and high-yielding currencies on concerns over bank funding in Europe.
"Given that the market has risen pretty sharply since late May, I am not overly alarmed by the size of falls we are seeing today," said Choi Seong-lak, a market analyst at SK Securities. KOSPI has gained 8 percent in the past month after hitting a six-month low on May 25. 

July 1 (Bloomberg) -- Spain’s top credit ranking was placed on review for a possible downgrade by Moody’s Investors Service as the country prepares to sell as much 3.5 billion euros ($4.3 billion) of five-year notes today. “Deteriorating” growth prospects and challenges in meeting fiscal targets mean Spain’s Aaa classification may be lowered by as much as two grades, Moody’s analysts including Senior Vice President Kristin Lindow in New York said yesterday in a statement. The review will be concluded within a three- month period, the ratings company said.

July 1 (Bloomberg) -- China’s manufacturing expanded at a slower pace for a second month in June, adding to signs that growth in the world’s third-largest economy is moderating. The Purchasing Managers’ Index fell to 52.1 from 53.9 in May, the Federation of Logistics and Purchasing said in an e- mailed statement today. That was less than the median 53.2 estimate in a Bloomberg News survey of 12 economists.

Stocks steadier as torrid quarter ends, ECB eyed
LONDON, June 30 (Reuters) - World stocks steadied on Wednesday after their biggest one-day plunge in over a year but fresh banking stress and fears of a double-dip global recession preyed on investors on the final day of a torrid second quarter.
"The banks are in effect swapping a comfy sofa for a stool -- but at least there are plenty of stools," said Societe Generale rate strategist Suki Mann.

20100701 1103 Malaysia & Global Economic News.

Malaysia: NKEA identifies project with GNI of RM506.5bn
The government’s 12 national key economic areas (NKEA) labs have identified 118 entry points projects (EPPs) and 35 business opportunities that bring an estimated annual gross national income (GNI) of about USD156bn (RM506.5bn). Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Razak said the preliminary estimate was that the 118 EPPs would be 80% funded by private sector investments and could potentially bring up to 2.2m jobs opportunities by 2020.(FinancialDaily)

Malaysia: Banks bullish of 7.5% GDP growth
The Malaysian banking industry is bullish of the country’s growth and expects the GDP to grow 7.5% this year. Associations of Banks in Malaysia chairman Datuk Seri Abdul Wahid Omar said this optimism was on the back of recovery in certain sectors like manufacturing as well as the improvement in services. “The momentum of growth in the first quarter would be enough to carry through for the rest of the year, and the banking sector will continue to lend, meaning economic activities will continue” he told reporters. (Malaysian Reserve)

China: Provinces raise minimum wages to curb labor disputes
At least nine Chinese provinces and cities will raise minimum wages by as much as a third after Premier Wen Jiabao called for measures to head off growing worker unrest in the world’s third-largest economy. Beijing is increasing the lowest monthly salary employers may pay in the Chinese capital to RMB960 (USD142) from RMB800, according to the city government’s website. Central China’s Henan, the nation’s most populous province with almost 100m residents, is raising its minimum wage by 33% to RMB600, the local government said on its website. (Bloomberg)

Japan: Slowing economy exposes risk of 1997 sales-tax redux
Japan’s slowing recovery from its worst postwar recession is signaling the world’s second-biggest economy may be too weak to sustain the higher consumption taxes under consideration by Prime Minister Naoto Kan. Reports this week showed the jobless rate reached a five-month high in May, and wages, factory output and household spending fell, showing little sign of revival in domestic demand more than a year after the economy stopped shrinking. While the quarterly Tankan business-confidence index is forecast to rise, pessimists are projected to outnumber optimists. (Bloomberg)

EU: ECB lends less than forecast in three-month tender
The European Central Bank said it will lend banks 131.9bn euros (USD161.5bn) for three months, less than economists forecast and a sign that the region’s financial industry may be stronger than investors estimated. Banks need to repay 442bn euros in 12-month funds, the biggest amount ever awarded by the ECB and a key plank in its efforts to fight the financial crisis last year. (Bloomberg)

UK: June consumer confidence drops to six-month low
UK consumer confidence fell to a six-month low this month as Britons became more pessimistic about the economic outlook in the face of planned government spending cuts, GfK NOP said. An index of sentiment fell to minus 19 from minus 18 in May, the market researcher said in an e-mailed statement in London. Economists had forecast a decline to minus 20, based on the median of 14 estimates in a Bloomberg News survey. (Bloomberg)

US: Business activity expanded in June
Business activity in the US expanded in June for a ninth straight month, showing manufacturing is overcoming turmoil in financial markets. The Institute for Supply Management-Chicago Inc. said its business barometer fell to 59.1 this month, in line with the median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News, from 59.7 in May. Figures greater than 50 signal expansion. Other data signaled the government’s June employment report may show less job growth at companies than forecast. (Bloomberg)

US: Fed officials avoid talk of further stimulus to stoke growth
Federal Reserve policy makers expressed caution about the outlook for the US recovery and bank lending without backing any new steps by the central bank to stimulate growth. Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart said that while the recovery isn’t sustainable enough yet to warrant raising interest rates, he doesn’t see a need for additional asset purchases to aid the economy. Fed Governor Elizabeth Duke said it may take years to return to pre-recession credit levels and that there’s “no single step” to unclog lending markets. (Bloomberg) 

U.S. consumer confidence slumps, home prices rise
NEW YORK, June 29 (Reuters) - U.S. consumer confidence dropped in June after rising for three months, adding to the view the economic recovery is slowing, while home prices unexpectedly climbed in April.  The report Tuesday from The Conference Board, an industry group, showed the drop in confidence came from worries about the labor market which has been one of weakest areas of the U.S. economy.   

After China overheating worry, now deep-freeze fear
BEIJING, June 30 (Reuters) - Spreading jitters of an abrupt halt to Chinese growth are likely to prove as misplaced as concerns earlier this year that the economy might boil over.
That the economy is slowing is not in dispute. Nor should it be a surprise to markets: there has long been a solid consensus that first-quarter gross domestic product growth of 11.9 percent from a year earlier marked a cyclical peak.

20100701 1100 Malaysia Corporate News.

BCorp plans separate listings for retail, food ops
Berjaya Corp, a diversified group, is planning separate listings of its retail and food businesses, said chairman and chief executive officer Tan Sri Vincent Tan. Berjaya Retail (BRetail), which operates 7-Eleven and Singer businesses in Malaysia, will be the first to go for listing. “After BRetail, we want to list Berjaya Food, hopefully by the end of this year”, says Tan. At the BRetail prospectus launch in Kuala Lumpur yesterday, it was stated that BCorp shareholders will be granted dividend-in-specie of one B-Retail share for every 10 existing RM1 share in BCorp. BRetail's tentative listing date is on 16 Aug 2010 and the initial public offering (IPO) is set to raise between RM38.44m and RM53.44m. Management also announced the possibility of a dividend payout of 50%. (BT and FinancialDaily)

New LCCT to be bigger than planned
The new permanent low-cost carrier terminal (LCCT) that will be ready by March 2012 will be bigger than previously planned. However, details of the revised cost, size and capacity of the new LCCT have yet to be announced by Malaysia Airports Holdings. Managing director Tan Sri Bashir Ahmad said MAHB can only reveal the details when the tender exercise for the terminal is closed. (BT)

MAHB’s MIA project costs USD373m
The Male International Airport (MIA) project in Maldives, which was won by the consortium of Malaysia Airports Holdings Bhd (MAHB) and GMR Infrastructure Ltd of India, will entail a construction cost of about USD373m and that the construction was expected to start by mid-2011 and completed no later than 1 July 1, 2014. The tenure of the concession is 25 years and extendable for another 10 years, subject to mutual terms and conditions between the relevant parties. The financial effects on the earnings per share, net assets per share and gearing of MAHB group cannot be determined at this point of time as discussion remains ongoing. (StarBiz)

MRCB share deal
Malaysian Resources Corp (MRCB) has entered into a conditional agreement to buy all the shares held by Gapurna SB in GSB Sentral SB which it does not own, representing a 60% equity interest, with 17.91m redeemable preference shares of 1 sen each for a purchase consideration of RM105m. GSB Sentral owns a lot measuring 91,040 sq ft along Jalan Brickfields which has been approved for a mixed development of office and service apartments with total gross floor area of 1.47m sq ft and an estimated gross development value of RM850m. (StarBiz) 

LCL scouting for white knights
LCL Corp, which fell from grace after the Dubai financial crisis, is scouting for white knights to salvage the company, its executive chairman Datuk Low Chin Meng said yesterday. He said LCL had not found anyone suitable, adding that the white knight needed to be financially sizeable because of its huge debt financing. (FinancialDaily) 

RM16m in listing proceeds
Focus Point Holdings, Malaysia's largest professional eye-care chain, aims to raise RM16.1m from its initial public offering (IPO), the bulk of which is to open 56 new stores. This will bring its total stores to 200 by the end of 2011. With some 144 eye-care centres nationwide, Focus Point holds 10% of the RM1.3bn professional eye industry. The group aims to open 22 fully-owned stores and 34 franchise stores, mostly in the Klang Valley, with a budget of RM7.8m. In addition, it wants to expand abroad to places like Singapore, Cambodia and Vietnam within the next two years. (BT)

20100701 1055 Soy Oil & Palm Oil News.

Soy product futures ended mixed, with the unwinding of meal/oil spreads featured. Soymeal succumbed to spillover pressure from soybeans, while soyoil was buoyed by a correction from Tuesday's sharp declines. December soymeal ended $6.40, or 2.4%, lower at $259.40 per short ton. Speculative funds were estimated sellers of 2,000 lots in soymeal. December soyoil settled 0.36 cent, or 1.0%, higher at 37.17 cents per pound. Speculative funds were estimated buyers of 4,000 lots in soyoil.(Source: CME)

Oil hits 7-1/2 mth lows on key exports data
KUALA LUMPUR, June 30 (Reuters) - Malaysian crude palm oil futures rose after falling further than a seven-month low earlier in the day as investors took positions on overseas demand, however global economic uncertainty capped gains.
"The palm oil price is on the low side because both regional equity markets and commodity prices do not look good, unless the global economy shows a stable recovery," said a trader in Kuala Lumpur.